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Why Do Most Anti-Aging Methods Fail?

If most anti-aging methods are correct, why do they fail to deliver significant lifespan extension?
This document presents Bilu's systematic investigation into this very question. By dissecting the feasibility of nearly all mainstream approaches, he uncovered irreconcilable contradictions and critical oversights that render them ineffective. It was this landscape of scientific dead ends that forced a complete re-evaluation of aging's root cause, culminating in the Telomere DNA and Ribosomal DNA Co-regulation Model for Cell Senescence (TRCS). The failures cataloged here are the reason the TRCS model exists.

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The Path to a New Paradigm

My critical analysis followed a rigorous four-step process to evaluate the feasibility of mainstream anti-aging approaches:

1. Hypothesis-Grounded Assessment

Each method was evaluated on its own terms, against the predictions of its underlying theory (e.g., does reducing oxidative stress via antioxidants extend lifespan?).

2. Identification of Fatal Flaws

For each approach, I searched for irreconcilable contradictions—experimental results that directly contradicted the theory, or side effects that revealed a fundamental misunderstanding of biology.

3. Synthesis of Failures

The collective weight of these individual failures pointed to a single, inescapable conclusion: the root cause of aging had been misattributed.

4. Formulation of a Coherent Alternative

The TRCS model was built to directly explain the very phenomena that invalidated all other models.

Feasibility Analysis of Anti-Aging Methods

1. Antioxidant

Fundamentally Flawed
No life-extending effect. The oxygen free radical theory of aging is wrong.

In 1972, researchers fed mice a diet containing the antioxidant vitamin E. One year later, they found that lipofuscin levels were indeed lower, but the mice's mortality rate did not decrease, indicating that the oxygen free radical theory of aging is wrong.

Methylene blue (MB) is a strong antioxidant with a significant ability to cross cell membranes and is distributed in different subcellular compartments, such as lysosomes and mitochondria, but it did not extend the average lifespan of mice [1].

Key Evidence

2. Cell Reprogramming

Fundamentally Flawed
It won't work.

Cellular reprogramming includes "pluripotent reprogramming," "partial reprogramming," and "direct reprogramming." In pluripotent reprogramming, somatic cells are completely reverted to a pluripotent state; in partial reprogramming, these cells may be rejuvenated but do not lose their cellular identity; and in direct reprogramming (transdifferentiation), somatic cells are directly converted into another type of differentiated cell.

The iPS cells generated by pluripotent reprogramming, according to the “Telomere DNA and Ribosomal DNA co-regulation model for cell senescence,” have been found to have significantly increased telomere length and rDNA array length compared to senescent somatic cells, indicating that the cellular age is reversed to 0 years. However, iPS cells or adult cells differentiated from iPS cells can also be subject to immune rejection. For example, on May 13, 2011, Nature reported that American scientists transplanted mouse iPS cells or adult cells differentiated from iPS cells into mice from which the cells were derived. It was originally thought that there would be no rejection due to the identical genetic background, but the mice rapidly rejected the transplanted cells [1]. On August 11, 2022, a paper published in Nature Genetics confirmed that nearly three-quarters of iPS cell lines have severely damaged DNA. Moreover, allogeneic iPS cells with the same homozygous human leukocyte antigen (HLA) haplotype as the patient can still cause immune rejection [2], indicating that even with the same HLA, allogeneic stem cells will still be rejected. In 2024, Deng Hongkui and others published a paper in Cell on the transplantation of islets derived from chemically induced pluripotent stem cells (CiPSCs) for the treatment of type 1 diabetes. The use of immunosuppressive agents indicates that small molecule reprogramming can also be rejected [3]. The original text is as follows: Before CiPSC-islets transplantation, the patient was maintained on immunosuppressive therapy with tacrolimus (2-2.5 mg/day), mycophenolate mofetil (1 g/day) and methylprednisolone tablets (8 mg/day) due to liver transplantation. For CiPSC-islets transplantation, Basiliximab (20 mg) was used for induction therapy on day 0 and day 4. Etanercept was administrated intravenously on day 0 (50 mg) and subcutaneously on day 3, day 7 and day 10 (25 mg) to alleviate inflammatory reactions. For maintenance therapy, the previously described immunosuppressive maintenance regimen for liver transplantation was continued. Cefazolin Sodium was administered for infection prophylaxis during the perioperative period.

Partial reprogramming is also not viable because it has been found that the telomere length does not increase or even slightly decreases in partial reprogramming [4], and it is estimated that the length of the rDNA array does not increase either. After the cessation of Yamanaka factor expression, the epigenetic age quickly reverts to the previous state, and aging symptoms accumulate rapidly. Multiple cycles of treatment only extended the lifespan of progeroid mice by 30%, but failed to extend the lifespan of wild-type mice, indicating that partial reprogramming did not reverse the underlying mechanisms of aging. If in vivo reprogramming is excessive, it can cause mouse death or the formation of iPS cells and fatal teratomas derived from iPS cells. Partial reprogramming uses doxycycline, which is mentioned below to significantly extend the lifespan of Caenorhabditis elegans and mice. The earliest in vivo partial reprogramming experiments were conducted in 2016, and to date, they have not extended the lifespan of normally aging mice. In 2016, Cell reported that cyclic transient expression of the four Yamanaka factors—Oct4, Sox2, Klf4, and c-Myc (abbreviated as OSKM)—in mice significantly extended the lifespan of progeroid mice, but did not extend the lifespan when OSKM was induced in normally aging mice (12 months old) [5]. Altos Labs, founded with $3 billion in investment from the world's richest man Jeff Bezos and Yuri Milner, reported in September 2024 that partial reprogramming only increased the median lifespan of wild-type mice by 12%, which is not as effective as small molecule anti-aging drugs. It can be said that the path of partial reprogramming has been declared a failure [6].

Direct reprogramming has not been found to reverse the aging phenotype [7].

Key Evidence

  • [1] Zhao, T., Zhang, ZN., et al. (2011). Immunogenicity of induced pluripotent stem cells. Nature, 474, 212–215.
  • [2] Ozaki, M., Iwanami, A., et al. (2017). Evaluation of the immunogenicity of human iPS cell-derived neural stem/progenitor cells in vitro. Stem Cell Res., 19, 128–138.
  • [3] Wang, S., et al. (2024). Transplantation of chemically induced pluripotent stem-cell-derived islets under abdominal anterior rectus sheath in a type 1 diabetes patient. Cell, 187(22), 6152 - 6164.e18.
  • [4] Gill, D., Parry, A., et al. (2022). Multi-omic rejuvenation of human cells by maturation phase transient reprogramming. eLife, 11:e71624.
  • [5] Ocampo, A., Reddy, P., et al. (2016). In Vivo Amelioration of Age-Associated Hallmarks by Partial Reprogramming. Cell, 167, 1719-1733 e1712.
  • [6] Sahu, S. K., et al. (2024). Targeted partial reprogramming of age-associated cell states improves markers of health in mouse models of aging. Sci Transl Med.
  • [7] Mertens J, Paquola ACM, et al. (2015). Directly Reprogrammed Human Neurons Retain Aging-Associated Transcriptomic Signatures and Reveal Age-Related Nucleocytoplasmic Defects. Cell Stem Cell. 17:705-718.
  • [8] Huang, Bilu. (2025). The Information Theory of Aging Is Not Reliable. Available at SSRN

3. Eliminate Senescent Cells

Fundamentally Flawed
It won't work and even accelerate aging.

In 2011, a group of American scientists [1] administered drugs to elderly mice (not progeria model mice) and found that they could eliminate senescent cells from many tissues in the body, making the mice younger and stronger: their muscles developed again, their subcutaneous fat thickened, and their cataracts healed, but their lifespans did not increase. I believe that the reason why eliminating senescent cells does not extend lifespan is that eliminating senescent cells may activate adult stem cells to divide to fill the gaps, and cell division can lead to telomere shortening. There are also reports that excessive elimination of senescent cells in the lungs can lead to stem cell depletion and pulmonary fibrosis. A paper titled "Sexual dimorphic responses of C57BL/6 mice to Fisetin or Dasatinib and Quercetin cocktail oral treatment" in GeroScience found that female mice that took dasatinib and quercetin to eliminate senescent cells since youth had accelerated aging [2]; a research paper in Aging in February 2024 used dasatinib and quercetin to eliminate human senescent cells and observed a significant increase in epigenetic age and a significant shortening of telomere length [3]; ABT-263 treatment to eliminate senescent cells accelerated ovarian aging in elderly female mice [4].

Unity Biotechnology's stock price has recently plummeted and the company has been deserted. The reason is that Unity released Phase II clinical data showing that the precise removal of senescent cells in the joints through the drug UBX0101 did not show any statistically significant difference compared with placebo in treating knee osteoarthritis pain [5].

Replication within adipocytes can produce multinucleated cells, leading to replicative senescence. A Nature review article titled “Mechanisms and consequences of endothelial cell senescence” states that the elimination of cardiac senescent cells can lead to the expression of aging markers and the appearance of multinucleated cardiomyocytes, as well as cardiomyocyte hypertrophy [6], which are manifestations of cell replicative senescence. In other words, the elimination of cardiac senescent cells will accelerate the aging of the heart.

It is generally believed that senescent cells accelerate the aging of young cells. However, in 1958, Hayflick and Moorhead mixed male fibroblasts that had divided 40 times and normal female fibroblasts that had divided 10 times, and used cells cultured alone as a control. When the cells cultured alone stopped dividing, the mixed culture cells were examined and found that only female fibroblasts remained. This experiment shows that the cessation of cell division is determined by factors within the cells themselves [7]. In addition, mice that eliminated senescent cells failed to extend their maximum lifespan, indicating that senescent cells do not accelerate the aging of young cells. Moreover, mice that continuously eliminated senescent cells for a long time will age faster, indicating that senescent cells actually inhibit the division of young cells, play a throttling role, and allow young cells to slowly use up the constant number of divisions. The actual role of senescent cells is not to accelerate aging, but to delay aging. The fact that telomeres in children or young people shorten faster than those in middle-aged and elderly people also shows that senescent cells or inflammatory or aging body fluids caused by aging can actually delay aging.

Key Evidence

  • [1] Baker DJ, Wijshake T, et al. (2011). Clearance of p16Ink4a-positive senescent cells delays ageing-associated disorders. Nature, 479:232-236
  • [2] Fang, Y., Medina, D. et al. (2023). Sexual dimorphic metabolic and cognitive responses of C57BL/6 mice to Fisetin or Dasatinib and quercetin cocktail oral treatment. GeroScience, 45, 2835–2850.
  • [3] Lee E, Carreras-Gallo N, Lopez L, et al. (2024). Exploring the effects of Dasatinib, Quercetin, and Fisetin on DNA methylation clocks: a longitudinal study on senolytic interventions. Aging (Albany NY). 16:3088-3106.
  • [4] Xia X, Yang Y, et al. (2024). The senolytic drug ABT-263 accelerates ovarian aging in older female mice. Sci Rep, 14:23178.
  • [5] UNITY Biotechnology Announces 12-week data from UBX0101 Phase 2 Clinical Study in Patients with Painful Osteoarthritis of the Knee.
  • [6] Bloom, S.I., Islam, M.T. et al. (2023). Mechanisms and consequences of endothelial cell senescence. Nat Rev Cardiol. 20: 38–51.
  • [7] Hayflick L, Moorhead PS. (1961). The serial cultivation of human diploid cell strains. Exp Cell Res. 25:585-621.] [Shay JW, Wright WE. (2000). Hayflick, his limit, and cellular ageing. Nat Rev Mol Cell Biol. 1:72-6.

TRCS Model Perspective

Senescent cells are a consequence, not a cause, of aging. Eliminating them may provide symptomatic relief but does not address the underlying replicative aging of stem cells. According to the TRCS model, senescent cells may actually play a protective role by limiting the replicative exhaustion of stem cell pools.

4. Enhance Cell Autophagy

Fundamentally Flawed
Lysosomal autophagy can clear various waste proteins from cells, but it does not extend lifespan.

Lysosomal autophagy can clear various waste proteins from cells, but it does not extend lifespan. In fact, increased autophagy in the nematode brain or intestine can shorten lifespan. This suggests that the cause of aging is not waste accumulation. Experiments in mice have found that ovarian aging is associated with increased autophagy and apoptosis in granulosa cells, and this can be reversed by estrogen receptor inhibitors [1].

Key Evidence

5. Maintaining Protein Homeostasis

Fundamentally Flawed
Geranylgeranylacetone (GGA) has an inducing effect on the expression of heat shock proteins but cannot prolong the lifespan of mice.

Geranylgeranylacetone(GGA) has an inducing effect on the expression of heat shock proteins in mammalian tissues, ensuring that proteins can be folded correctly. However, tests by the most authoritative National Institute on Aging in the United States have shown that GGA cannot prolong the lifespan of mice [1], indicating that the loss of protein homeostasis is not the cause of aging, but a result of aging [2].

Key Evidence

6. Small Molecule Telomerase Activators

Fundamentally Flawed
The anti-aging direction of extending telomeres is correct, but small molecule telomerase activators fail to extend telomeres and therefore fail to extend lifespan.

This may be because while activating telomerase, it also activates a mechanism that accelerates telomere shortening. This is because small molecule telomerase activation positively correlates with the expression of the telomere-binding protein TRF2, which inhibits telomere extension. Cancer cells have very high telomerase activity, yet most have very short telomeres. This is primarily due to the positive correlation between telomerase and TRF2 expression, suggesting that small molecule telomerase activators may shorten telomeres.

TA-65 failed to extend the lifespan of mice and even slightly shortened it [1]. In 2014, Nature reported that TA-65, the first anti-aging drug that activates telomerase, was accused of commercial fraud. The small molecule telomerase activator TAC also failed to extend the lifespan of mice. This may be because the telomeres did not significantly extend, which is a common feature of small molecules [2]. How can cancer cells achieve immortality when half have p53 mutations and the other half do not? One of the reasons is that TRF2 can bind to P53. Therefore, when cancer cells overexpress TRF2, it will reduce P53 levels, causing the cancer cells to divide continuously.

Key Evidence

  • [1] de Jesus BB, Schneeberger K, et al. (2011). The telomerase activator TA-65 elongates short telomeres and increases health span of adult/old mice without increasing cancer incidence. Aging Cell, 10: 604-621.
  • [2] Shim HS, et al. (2024). TERT activation targets DNA methylation and multiple aging hallmarks. Cell, 187(15): 4030-4042.e13.

7. Telomerase Gene Transfection

Correct Direction but Limited Effect
This anti-aging approach is in the right direction, but it's not enough. Extends median lifespan by 13-24% in mice.

AAV transfection of mice containing TERT can only extend the median lifespan of one-year-old mice by 24% and that of two-year-old mice by 13% [1]. This suggests that in addition to telomeres, there is another factor that determines the mechanism of cell aging, which I have found, called ribosomal DNA. See "Telomere DNA and ribosomal DNA co-regulation model for cell senescence" [2]. It has also been reported that oxygen free radicals and overeating can accelerate the reduction of ribosomal DNA in fruit flies [3].

Key Evidence

TRCS Model Perspective

Telomerase gene therapy correctly targets one component of the aging mechanism (telomere shortening) but fails to address ribosomal DNA array reduction. The TRCS model explains why this approach has limited efficacy and suggests that combined extension of both telomeres and rDNA arrays would be necessary for significant lifespan extension.

8. Telomerase mRNA

Correct Direction but Limited Effect
This anti-aging approach is in the right direction, but it's not enough.

Furthermore, the cost is too high, and current mRNA drugs can only be used for vaccines that require only small doses. Egan et al. [1] studied the telomere length in corneal endothelial cells of people of different ages and found that corneal endothelial cells maintain long telomeres throughout their lives and have no telomerase activity. Their replication capacity is limited not by telomere shortening, but by other factors. This shows that telomeres are not the only factor that limits cell aging. In addition to telomeres, there is another thing that controls the aging process of cells. I have found it, called ribosomal DNA. See "Telomere DNA and ribosomal DNA co-regulation model for cell senescence" [2].

Key Evidence

9. Inhibit Cell Division

Fundamentally Flawed
Inhibiting cell division has achieved some life-extending effects in mammals, but with significant side effects.

For example, rapamycin has a life-extending effect, but it has significant side effects. This is because many cells in the blood, oral cavity, and intestines need to be rapidly renewed. Inhibiting cell division can affect tissue renewal and cause significant side effects, such as immunosuppression. In 20-month-old mice, rapamycin was given to extend the median lifespan of male mice by only 9% and that of female mice by 14% [1].

Rapamycin, a commonly used immunosuppressant in organ transplants, can cause tumors. One study reported that lung transplants led to cancer cell transmission due to the use of immunosuppressants. Some people abroad reported rapidly enlarging facial melanocytic nevi and developing basal cell carcinoma after taking rapamycin.

On June 4, 2024, the American Society of Aging in Wisconsin published a report on a decade-long life-extending study of rapamycin in 60 marmosets, finding that the median lifespan increased by 15%. The study used a daily dose of 1 mg/kg, a relatively high dose used only in experimental animals, as the marmosets were living in a pathogen-free environment and are not prone to cancer. Humans, however, are exposed to various pathogens and are susceptible to cancer, so high doses are not recommended. Therefore, the life-extending effect in humans may be minimal, and may even shorten lifespan.

Klotho protein acts as a circulating hormone, binding to cell surface receptors and inhibiting the intracellular signaling of insulin and insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1). This lifespan extension is essentially achieved by reducing metabolic rate, and therefore, like rapamycin, it also inhibits cell replication and immune function. For example, some studies have shown that α-Klotho has a lifespan extension effect on male mice, but not on females [2]. This may be because females have a lower metabolic rate than males, and further reducing the metabolic rate is harmful. It has also been found that excessive Klotho increases the risk of cancer in cancer survivors [3].

Key Evidence

  • [1] D.E. Harrison, R. Strong, et al. (2009). Rapamycin fed late in life extends lifespan in genetically heterogeneous mice. Nature, 460: 392-395.
  • [2] Roig-Soriano, Joan et al. (2025). Long-term effects of s-KL treatment in wild-type mice: Enhancing longevity, physical well-being, and neurological resilience. Molecular Therapy, 33: 1449 - 1465.
  • [3] Nong J, Zhang Y. (2025). Circulating Klotho and mortality patterns among US cancer survivors: A cohort study. Medicine (Baltimore). 104: e43471.
Bilu Huang, CC BY 4.0 Updated November 2025

Key Preprints by Bilu Huang

In-depth analysis of mainstream aging theories and anti-aging methods

01
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Demonstration of the Feasibility of Mainstream Aging Theories and Intervention

Many aging theories and interventions are wrong. The chosen direction is incorrect, consequently rendering the efforts futile. To minimize the waste of resources, this study initially introduces the latest aging theory in order to advance our demonstration of the feasibility of mainstream aging theories and intervention.

Available on SSRN 2025
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02
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Programmed Aging Theory Defeats Damage Accumulation Theory of Aging

Aging is not the result of random damage that accumulates gradually, but is a genetic program driven by telomeres and rDNA arrays through the p53 pathway.

Available on SSRN 2025
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03
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The Information Theory of Aging Is Not Reliable

There is a wealth of evidence indicating that the Information Theory of Aging (ITOA) is incorrect, and that DNA damage in the cell nucleus and mitochondria is not the cause of cellular aging. Our research suggests that telomere and rDNA array shortening are the fundamental causes of cellular aging.

Available on SSRN 2025
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Conclusion: The Necessity of a Paradigm Shift

"The two dozen methods cataloged here represent the majority of current investment and research in anti-aging science. Their collective failure is not a coincidence but a symptom of a shared, fundamental error in understanding what aging is."

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